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Higher prices hitting home

Josh Lintereur
Skagit Valley Herald
March 09, 2008 - 02:00 PM


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Scott Terrell
Tammie Cartwright of Sedro-Woolley shops Wednesday with her 9-year-old son Matthew at the Grocery Outlet in Mount Vernon. With the price of consumer goods soaring, Cartwright is more careful about where she buys gas these days and keeps an eye out for bargains when shopping.
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Ditch that daily double latte, pack a lunch, dine in and clip those coupons — because the inflationary squeeze is on.

Last year marked the biggest year-to-year jump in the nation’s consumer price index in nearly two decades.

Worse yet, the cost of gas, groceries and just about every other consumer staple rose even faster than inflation as a whole.

As a result, inflation-adjusted earnings for the average worker fell, as high energy and food costs eroded their purchasing power.

Data released late last month by the U.S. Labor Department shows that the trend is continuing. In other words — consumers’ dollars aren’t buying nearly as much as one year ago.

“Everybody I know is trying to be careful about what they’re spending,” said Tammie Cartwright, while bargain hunting Wednesday with her 9-year-old son Matthew at the Grocery Outlet in Mount Vernon.

To save money, Cartwright, a married mother of three who works as a custodian for the Burlington-Edison School District, has been saving coupons and scanning ads for the best deals.

When it comes to inflationary pressure, Cartwright and other Puget Sound area residents have been hit harder than the country as a whole.

In the Seattle metro area, consumer prices increased by 4.6 percent last year, according to the Labor Department, compared with 4.1 percent nationally.

The Labor Department doesn’t track inflation by county, but experts say most of Western Washington likely saw a similar level of price increases.

The region’s gas prices, which soared 20.5 percent last year, drove much of the increase. With prices at the pump hitting a record average of $3.45 a gallon in Washington this month, according to the AAA auto club, the situation has only worsened.

Gas prices aren’t just hurting consumers at the pump but also indirectly through higher shipping costs.

“We’re not in the middle of a great big distribution network,” said Hart Hodges, director of the Center for Economics and Business Research at Western Washington University. “We’re at the end of it.”

The shift by crop farmers to growing corn for ethanol production rather than food may have also contributed to the run up in food prices.

Whatever the culprit, whether it’s the average price of groceries, which increased 5.6 percent in the Seattle area last year, housing (+4.9 percent), electricity (+4.4 percent) or medical costs (+6.8 percent), just name it, and chances are it became much more expensive.

“When you add it all up, it’s more inflation than we’re used to,” Hodges said.

Higher prices often begin with raw materials producers, and the tab gets passed down to wholesalers, retailers and finally consumers.

Local business owners say that raising their prices is always a last resort, but lately they’ve had no choice.

Doris Robbins, who co-owns the Farm to Market Bakery in Edison with her daughter Chelan, said that the orders she places for staples like butter and sugar come with $20 to $50 fuel surcharges from suppliers. Even products that she buys locally, such as milk, eggs and flour, are significantly more expensive.

Just down the street at the Breadfarm, which produces artisan bread for the retail and wholesale markets, owner Scott Mangold has raised prices on his organic artisan bread by up to 20 percent.

“Last year we saw higher inflation coming because everything from plumbing to ingredients cost more,” said owner Scott Mangold. “This is the year it will hit consumers.”

In the last two weeks alone, the cost of organic white flour that Mangold uses to make bread shot up 32 percent.

The increases are so staggering that Mangold may have to switch from organic to conventional ingredients. Either that or the price of Mangold’s baguettes may go from $3.50 to $7, which few consumers — Mangold included — would ever pay.

“We’re organic for idealistic reasons, but now we’re having to be realistic if we want to stay in business,” he said.

Large-scale producers aren’t immune to cost increases either. Evidence of that can be found at the grocery store.

Be it whole milk, which rose 29 percent last year, according to Labor Department statistics, bread, up 13 percent, or peanut butter, 9 percent higher, food price increases are far outpacing overall inflation.

Coupled with the prospect of $4 gas prices, which experts — including Hodges — are saying appears likely this year, things may get even worse.

“It’s depressing,” said Hodges. “It triggers thoughts about not going out to eat as many times and not taking that trip to Mount Baker. There’s a ripple effect with those decisions, and it slows the economy a bit.”

The situation also leaves the Federal Reserve in a tricky spot.

With a recession possibly on the horizon, the Fed could cut interest rates again to help stimulate the economy, but doing so will also exacerbate inflation. Likewise, if the Fed increased rates, inflation would slow, but the economy would contract.

“Their hands are tied,” Hodges said.

Until inflation slows, consumers will continue to adjust their spending habits.

Barbara Day, who lives on Samish Island, said she’s being more conscious about the number of trips she makes to the grocery store in a week.

“I’m not going to the store at the drop of a hat,” she said.

Meanwhile, Cartwright and her husband are already questioning whether they’ll make the six-hour drive to their cabin in Eastern Washington this summer.

“We’ll stay at home and work in the yard,” she said.

• Josh Lintereur can be reached at 360-416-2141 or at .

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Report Violation Posted by scrugg  on  March 09, 2008 - 09:00 PM

Ban all road gas vehicles and lets all walk, ride bikes, horses or buggies. Dont build any more roads and bridges and forget about that roundabout. Close all them malls and plow them parking lots then plant corn. That’ll get rid of all the transplants in this valley which would then naturally solve all the headaches & problems that neither clinton, obama nor mccain can do. The country will be much better off if they campaign overseas than here, I am sure obama will get over 200% vote from Kenya and the other 2 will have no problems getting elected in iraq or iran!

Report Violation Posted by Lee_USA  on  March 09, 2008 - 09:46 PM

Yeah....that makes sense.

So, back to the real world and the real impact the continued occupation of Iraq is costing us at home.  That $300 million per DAY or $2 billion per MONTH is eating away at our national economy.

Those tax dollars are gone forever.

But we Americans can demand accountability and compliance with the will of the People.  Bring our troops back home!  Their families need them, their country needs them and we need to stop pouring money down a bottomless rat hole.

Report Violation Posted by Brett Sandström  on  March 10, 2008 - 11:20 AM

Scrugg ~ I agree… I was just thinking about converting an old garage into a stable and riding a horse and buggy into town like they did just about eighty years ago. The malls have destroyed the American small town and I would be so excited at the prospect of their demise.

Report Violation Posted by scrugg  on  March 10, 2008 - 11:52 AM

Before and after we leave Iraq, lets make sure that all their oil revenue money will pay for all them money spent.

Report Violation Posted by scrugg  on  March 10, 2008 - 11:58 AM

Most of them stuff they sell at the malls including them cars are all foreign made anyway and transplant people loves them! Lets just ban all of them including them ships that brings them over to our ports!

Report Violation Posted by scrugg  on  March 10, 2008 - 06:33 PM

I love higer prices! The higher the better ‘cause those who cant afford will just have to move out!

Report Violation Posted by Concerned Skagitonian  on  March 11, 2008 - 07:53 AM

Okay scrugg you’ve had your say, the Malls do ALOT of good for revenue in this area, the cars you speak of are made here in america and just have a foreign name. Cars and trucks are not going anywhere, but there getting better with the hybrids and green cars/trucks. As for raising prices and if people cannot afford them can move away, thats the dumbest thing I ever heard, if you could not afford to pay them would it be fair if you were told that? Next time you decide to spout off think before you speak. because most of what you said is so much bull that the skagit river is nearing flood dtage from all of it!!!!!

Report Violation Posted by Lee_USA  on  March 11, 2008 - 01:46 PM

lol....you didn’t take him seriously, did you, CS?

His talk of ‘transplants’ includes anyone not living here for the last 10,000 years.  That leaves out quite a few folks indeed.

Report Violation Posted by Concerned Skagitonian  on  March 12, 2008 - 06:11 AM

Well Lee, there are alot of Archie Bunker types in the world and some who think differently then the normal folks so I figured if he was going to spout off someone should as least tell him that he is full of it, and if he was not serious then ohh well I still got to respond to a bunch of garbage that nice people should not have had to see.

Report Violation Posted by Lee_USA  on  March 23, 2008 - 10:23 PM

More evidence of how ‘well’ Bush’s tax cuts worked to stimulate the economy.  Expect more of the same from those spoiled millionaires who don’t know the first thing about economics or how the marketplace works.

Report Violation Posted by Concerned Skagitonian  on  March 24, 2008 - 04:59 AM

Tax cuts? Bush made taxs cuts? well I’ll be darned, I sure wish he had made some that effected me and my family during these trying times. I know for a fact that we sure could use some extra money in our pockets right now, The unemployment rate on the rise in our county has my wife in its grip, and now I’m out of work with an injury, yes a tax cut would be a wonderful thing if we seen any of it.
And your right, the way Bush has made it his oil rich buddies and the others who have more money then they will ever need to live on are just going to keep getting more and more while the rest of us who are the have nots suffer and have to live pay check to paycheck, I just keep wondering whats next with him, and why anyone actually thought he needed to be re elected is well beyond me.


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